Tuesday, August 31, 2021
Framework for Release
Wednesday, July 14, 2021
Escape Plan
Friday, June 25, 2021
Forrest in Forest
My dream when I “stopped working” in 2014 was not to do nothing. I just wanted to not have to think about how what I would do would make money. I also did not like my fate being in other people’s hands. In a pure meritocracy, everyone would line up on a theoretical starting line and the gun would go. In reality, there are plenty of gate keepers to opportunity. There is not a path you choose and then knuckle down and crack on. So washing your hands of that rubbish, and saying “I am done” had incredible appeal. Front loading the effort, then constraining expenses going forward. The problem with that idea is I do see myself as part of others. It does not help if I am not stressed, if others are stressed. Like the scene in Forrest Gump where he runs back into the forest (with one r) to rescue people. The idea of financial independence is an illusion. I celebrated stopping working for money as “Independence Days”, but the problem is we aren’t independent. We are interdependent. So even though I talk of financial security and stilling the waves of money anxiety, the reality is it is a process of practice. The struggle to still the waves will continue. Part of stilling is acceptance and perception. Stillness where you are, not where you are aiming for. Stillness within the chaos, not after the chaos.
Thursday, June 24, 2021
Absorbing Shocks
Insurance works on the “law of large numbers”. Unlikely events with big consequences are spread out over large groups. A small, certain, premium that can be afforded instead of a small, uncertain, chance of ruin. You can self-insure for a lot of events if you have enough capital that it won’t result in your ruin. I built my Engine the traditional way. With a salary (from a job) that was bigger than my expenses. When I started, I took out life, earning ability, and severe illness cover. The world is designed around us living hand-to-mouth with our salaries defining our capacity to take and absorb risk. To snap that connection, you need a gap. Then that gap needs to be invested, and what it earns reinvested, until your Engine can be working and earning what you need to spend. It is only with a working engine that your life choices can be gradually freed from the constraints of money making. Good ideas that are not good business ideas are still worth doing. They need to be powered by good business ideas. Merit/worth/value (a good idea) is not sufficient. At least not in the beginning. With planning, you can increase your ability to be the one who decides what has value, and what you do with your time.
Wednesday, February 24, 2021
Solved Problem
Investing is a solved problem. As Seth Klarman points out, “the real secret to investing is that there is no secret to investing”. The unsolved problem is that most people don’t do it. Most people still live hand-to-mouth. A lot of people are stuck in debt traps which is “reverse investing”. Like the underworld of Stranger Things, you work to pay for past consumption or misfortune. Three key factors in investing are (1) competence, (2) relationships, and (3) beliefs. I don’t believe in Gods of investing. I do look out for red competence flags. You have to do your due diligence. Like romantic relationships – we form connections with people. The grass isn’t always greener. Improving our investing habits starts where we are. Our beliefs are path dependent. There is an element of this in the “how” of investing. You have to choose a path that resonates for you so you can stick to it. The basics are pretty simple. Find a way to earn. Spend less than you earn. Get the difference a job.
Tuesday, January 12, 2021
Getting Paid
Money is made by solving problems for decision-makers with money. Desire to solve those problems is not enough. You need the skills and knowledge to be able to deliver. To do that, you need training/studying. You also need the decision-maker to choose you specifically. There will normally be others who can solve the problem too. How many others is the key factor in how much you get paid. It is not about you. It is about the supply of problem solvers, and demand for problem-solving. Beyond merit (skills and knowledge), the two other key factors are capital and containers. Capital buys you time to build skills and knowledge. Ideally, you can build while earning, but often there is a trade-off. Time to learn. Time to earn. The container is the barriers to entry that make it worth your while. The container is the “rubber hits the road” way to get paid. You can spend years developing merit, but if there is no container to fit that into a countable “product” where an ask meets an offer, there will be no reward.
Decision Maker with Money
My first job after university was in Risk Product Development. My focus area was Earning Ability. Money is made by solving problems for decision-makers with money. In a hand-to-mouth economy, without capital-backed decision-making, you only get to make decisions on how to spend money if you have earned it from another decision-maker. First, you have to find a job. Then you have to do a job. Then you gradually get breathing space if you get paid more than you need to spend. When you venture into the land of discretionary (by choice) spending. Then you can either consume that money or put it to work. To start, you are at risk. Unless you have someone to turn to, there is the danger that something goes wrong, and you cannot work. Something goes wrong, and you cannot do your daily tasks. Something goes wrong, and you cannot do the work you were trained to do. Or you cannot do any work. The question “How much capital would I need if I couldn’t work?” is the starting point for the target size of the Engine you need to make your own decisions. Until then, something might go wrong.
Monday, January 11, 2021
Mini Me
You can think of capital as your Mini-Me. In a world that defines us by our earning ability, building capital is a path to telling those voices to get knotted. If you spend money, you are firing it. If you put it to work, you are feeding your Mini-Me. Gradually that Mini-Me can grow. If you reinvest (rather than consume) a combination of what you produce, and what your Mini-Me produces, one day your Mini-Me may earn enough to be your bread winner. So you can focus on ideas that are good ideas, but not good business ideas. You can only build capital if you are not servicing past consumption (debts), and you are earning more than you are spending. There cannot be growth while you are bleeding. There cannot be growth without breathing space. But if you can hold space for, and look after your Mini-Me, with time and care it can grow to hold space for you.
Wednesday, January 06, 2021
The Great Wave
There will be many lessons learnt when we reflect on 2020, and unfortunately probably most of 2021 too. When the dust settles. One of those will be the danger of predicting things we pretend to understand, but have not experienced. Another will be the peril of basing society on hand-to-mouth existence, because of (amongst other things) a belief in “work ethic”. Asking children as they grow up what they will be, and meaning how will they earn a living. Existence based on a willingness to work, requires the existence of work. The ability to create real value requires reinvestment and a long-time frame. It requires breaking the cycle of feast and famine. It requires being able to pause. Sometimes for longer than we like. It requires a safe place to retreat to. We have to snap our earning addiction by creating capital. Capital is not hoarding. Capital works. Capital can create space for when we realise how much of what we thought we knew is not true. Capital allows you to be wrong without it being the end. If you have the ability to work from home. Be grateful you have work. Be grateful you have a home. Then let us build back better.
Wednesday, November 04, 2020
Human Voice
“Poverty is not a lack of character. It is a lack of cash,” points out Rutger Bregman. Two fundamental principles in stilling the waves of money anxiety are (1) Never be a Forced Seller, and (2) Never be a Forced Buyer. Avoid being put in a corner. Get yourself in a position where you can say yes, or no. Become a decision maker. Price is not value. It is a way of listening to supply and demand. Adding force or scarcity is a way of price swallowing value whole. The key source of force is basic living needs and unexpected emergencies. Things you cannot say no to, that stop you from building or breathing. To avoid force, you need to snap the hand-to-mouth connection of depending on your earning ability. Overcoming any debt traps, then building an emergency fund of cash. Gradually putting money to work, and building your lung capacity. The breath to say no. Price does not listen to those with no voice.
Friday, August 14, 2020
Learning to Work
During the first decade of building your Engine, you won’t see the dramatic effects of compounding. If you think of your money as a mini version of you, the first years are still school time. The most important focus during that time is laying solid foundations. Creating the habit of paying yourself first. Where every time money comes in, you spend less than you could, because some immediately gets invested. Where every time money comes in, you get some of it a job. You internalise the discipline of having money “that is there, but isn’t”. Learning to live dramatically within your means. Finding a way to have a buffer for life’s emergencies, so you aren’t continually starting from scratch. This isn’t hoarded money. It doesn’t sit sunning in a pool. It works, then takes the money it earns and (if you leave it alone) gets it more work. Shifting from a hand-to-mouth life dependent on your earning ability, to a custodial life where the task of financing problem solving is shared with your past self. Then gradually, the magic of compounding can power the realisation that life isn’t a problem to be solved.











