Friday, March 04, 2022
And Again
Monday, January 24, 2022
Time and Effort
Thursday, September 24, 2020
Last Resort
The idea of a “Lender of Last Resort” (LOLR) brings harsh focus to the importance of liquidity. Price isn’t value. If you have stuff no one wants, the price is zero. It doesn’t matter what it is. It doesn’t matter how much you think it is worth in normal times. If you don’t have the capacity to reach normal times. The price may even be negative. You may have to pay someone to take something with long term value from you, because you simply have no option. There is nothing as dangerous as having no options. The role of LOLR is played by Governments or Central Banks. Selectively and inconsistently. Lending to institutions they don’t want to fail when no one else will. The Bank of Mom and Dad plays this role for many surface level risk takers. For the majority of people, there is no last resort. There is no one to step in. They are their own last line of defence. Risk is deeply personal.
Tuesday, September 15, 2020
Engine and Vehicle
Don’t put good ideas on a pedestal. A good idea is just an intended destination. To get there, you need an Engine (Capital) and a Vehicle (Container). Fundamental Investing recognises that just because something is a good idea doesn’t mean it will be a good investment. A strong company needs a strong Balance Sheet and control of their Cash Flows. Meaning they need to be both solvent and liquid. To survive the long term, their assets need to be worth more than their liabilities. To survive the short term, their liquid assets (easily available) need to be more than their immediate obligations (payable now). A company with assets that are theoretically valuable may be forced to sell them for far less than they are worth if they have short term obligations that are impatient. The same is true for individuals as is true for good businesses. What you do, isn’t the only thing that matters. Your Engine matters. Your Vehicle matters. Step back. It isn’t just activity that counts. Work on the foundations and the environment in which you create meaning. Create space. Create time. Then create.


