A Contrarian is not someone who always disagrees. 'The same but opposite' carries no new information. A Contrarian is someone who gets as much information from the consensus as possible, but is prepared to go against the popular view. There is a very fine line between being contrarian and being stubborn. A Contrarian regularly fights with the spectre of arrogance of giving their view more weight than the majority. Crowds carry wisdom. Being contrarian, and correct, requires a deep understanding of how little we know, how often we are wrong, and how much of what happens is down to chance.