Friday, August 19, 2022
Finding Resonance
Tuesday, July 06, 2021
That Map
Tuesday, May 25, 2021
Big Picture
No one has a view of the whole picture, or the ability to process it. We do not know in advance what the correct destination is, or what our future choices will be. We make our choices based on what we already know, with a limited glimpse forward of the possible consequences of our actions. There are individuals whose choices go against the grain, but if you look at a big enough picture, prejudices and bias starts to show. Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky opened up the field of Behavioural Finance and the study of cognitive biases. When you look at groups and group decisions, you can get a sense of how our processes work. This doesn’t mean we aren’t individuals. But we are individuals who don’t live in isolation. Our choices are affected by the choices of those around us. They are affected by the constraints of physics, time, and our very human limits. Context is everything when grasping at the randomness, ambiguity, and complexity of wrestling with personal choices and understanding.
Friday, May 14, 2021
Finding Others
Wednesday, March 31, 2021
Sacrificing Awareness
Developing cars that can drive autonomously requires multiple sources of awareness. When we drive, we somehow manage with one set of eyes and ears. We have a brutal internal system of awareness, triage, focus, and context switching. Yogis would argue it is only possible to focus on one thing at a time. The challenge is just that we are wired to take on an incredibly complex world. This means once a habit is engrained, we embody the knowledge. We let it go and move on. This means we are not always aware of ourselves. We often make decisions in isolation. Even when something is important to us, it isn’t necessarily present in our head. We might forget what we enjoy. We might forget what is important to us. We focus on what is in front of us and how we feel at that moment. When we are making decisions, it is not always in the context of everything that is important to us. This is both a strength and a weakness. We can “handle” the chaos that autonomous vehicles are still trying to conquer... plus more. But that handling can sacrifice awareness.
Tuesday, January 26, 2021
Capital and Containers
Making money is not just based on skills and knowledge. It also requires capital and containers. Capital provides endurance and resilience. The ability to survive through waves of feast and famine, with a degree of stability. The ability to invest, unlearn, relearn, and adapt as the skills and knowledge that are required and rewarded change. The ability to absorb and accommodate shocks from expected and unexpected risks. Containers give shape and form to what we do. They are the wider context in which we operate. The laws. The agreements. The relationships. The barriers. The incentives. Containers are where the rubber hits the road, and we get paid for our potential. They hold the space for an ask to meet an offer. They allow potential to manifest. Without capital and containers, merit does not get seen.
Wednesday, January 13, 2021
Broad Framing
Thursday, September 03, 2020
Securing your Basket
Choices are made in baskets. Once one is made, the set of options changes. There are both intended and unintended consequences. To explore, Economists simplify this pesky problem with an assumption. “Ceteris Paribus” meaning with other conditions remaining the same. All else equal. The world is complicated, ambiguous, and random. We see only a slice of it, and we see based on how we have seen before. We see only what is meaningful to us. We see only when we notice the change/contrast. We have limits. Our worlds bump into each other, and in the past we lived in bubbles with shared baskets and constraints. Now it is difficult to navigate the lack of shared context that stands in the way of staying in touch with other worlds. Our messages to each other arrive as foreigners. We are constantly unpacking and unpicking. Through the chaos, a foundation becomes more essential. A base. Secure space to retreat to and to advance from. Where conditions remain the same.