Thursday, March 31, 2022
Funded Abundance
Monday, February 14, 2022
Moving with Grace
Thursday, August 05, 2021
Real Value
Wednesday, August 04, 2021
Enough to go Around
If you tie your identity and incentives to your job and pay, the stress and shocks of money will drive your anxiety. Hunter-Gatherers may have also lived hand-to-mouth, but that is a false analogy because they were living off the land (a form of capital which produced opportunity). They had the option of moving in tough times. We live in containers which restrict our movement (countries, job qualifications) and do not all have the option of a menu of skills which provide almost certain payback if mastered (hunting and gathering).
Modern hand-to-mouth living means spending all you earn, without the option of earning more if that is not enough. When there is more than enough, simply consuming it. Adjusting spending up if income rises. The trick is to slowly separate from that. To see value in things that are abundant, and put your money to work solving scarcity. “Democratic Goods” are things where there is sufficient supply that everyone who wants it, can have it... at a reasonable price.
Price surges when there is not enough to go around. Price surges when we borrow to buy at a price we can’t afford... because there is not enough to go around. If you can find and see value in things where there is sustainably enough to go around, you can detach from the relentless stresses and violent shocks of
Tuesday, July 20, 2021
Obstacles and Barriers
Monday, February 22, 2021
Cut the Fat
Price is not value. Daniel Kahneman points out that while we might be intuitive grammarians, with our ears bristling when someone butchers our mother tongue, even those with years of training in statistics are not “intuitive statisticians”. Some truths require slow deliberate thinking rather than rules of thumb. Truths like there are no gods of investing. Investors who will agree “price is not value” will fall foul of this too when talking about “their value”. Everyone likes to believe they are the one that adds the value. That can’t be replaced. That other people can be cut out of the value chain, because other people are the fat. A high price is not an indication of value. It is more likely (1) scarcity, or (2) barriers to entry. An obstacle to creative destruction is that we all need to eat. We all need to get paid. We all need a source of wealth. The only way anyone will be prepared to be made redundant is if we believe we are included in the future that exists on the other side. Money is made by solving problems for decision makers. One of our problems, is that (without capital) we need problems.
Wednesday, November 18, 2020
Counted and Contained
One of the most important lessons in the world of money is
that “Price is not Value”.
We half wish that it was, because of a love for scorecards
and a way of measuring progress. If you can measure something, you can control
it. People partly love big salaries because it is a conspicuous sign that you
are making it in the world. Unfortunately, all a big salary means is that there
is an undersupply of the thing that you are providing. Or there are significant
barriers to entry. Or there is a lack of transparency. There is a container
that creates the ability to earn more, but it is not value. There are lots of
valuable things that are abundant. A high price is just an indication of
scarcity.
Not everything that counts can be counted and contained.
Not all good ideas are good business ideas. Not all good business ideas are good ideas.
Tuesday, October 13, 2020
Wildly Constrained
“Rewilding is about letting nature take care of itself, enabling natural processes to shape land and sea, repair damaged ecosystems and restore degraded landscapes. Through rewilding, wildlife’s natural rhythms create wilder, more biodiverse habits” (rewildingeurope.com). Rewilding is David Attenborough’s call to arms in his witness statement, “A Life on our Planet”. He points out that “a species can only thrive when everything around it thrives too.” I don’t buy into Abundance culture. I can’t, having been born in Apartheid South Africa. The world has constraints. We have to solve the dual problem that we are consuming too much, and yet masses of us are living in poverty. In “Stubborn Attachments”, Tyler Cowen talks about Maximum Sustainable Growth. We need to grow our way out of poverty, while rethinking growth. Rethinking consumption. Rethinking how we impose ourselves on the world. And getting wilder.