Tuesday, March 15, 2022

Accepting Randomness

Accepting randomness can provide comfort. It is when something is malicious that it really works me up. When the intention was to specifically make my life worse. That is very seldom the case. 

I like the idea of where people carry a coin to help them make difficult decisions, that are in truth 50/50. No matter how much analysis you do, it is simply a fork in the road, and you pick or get stuck. Once you know most of the advantages and disadvantages, you can’t craft an option that doesn’t have drawbacks. Keep moving. Pulse. 

Admitting the role of randomness is not a weakness. It is a way of accepting that it is not possible to control everything, and as Nightbirde says, “It’s okay”. Create meaning in the movement. 

Read “Fooled by Randomness” and learn about Black Swans. Events that change the story as we know it. 

We like patterns. They are the heart of the stories we tell ourselves. We create narrative arcs to protect us from storms, and make sense. 

Tyler Vignen’s “Spurious Correlations” where we see the number of shark attacks and Nicholas Cage movies have a similar chart... and so Nicholas Cage must cause shark attacks? 

If you do spin a coin, and record the genuinely random results... most people will see a pattern and say it isn’t random. Real randomness has long periods where life just throws heads, heads, heads, heads, heads, heads. That can’t be random! It is. It is random. 

The world is not against you. And it’s alright.



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